The dissertation is devoted to the conceptualization of socio-political forecasting in education within the context of the key vectors of socio-political development. The research explores the theoretical and methodological, conceptual, metatheoretical, axiological, and information dimensions of the influence of socio-political forecasting in education on the security space and social development of the state. Particular attention is given to identifying the philosophical foundations of socio-political forecasting in education, as well as to examining it as both a component and a determinant of the humanitarian security space of the state.
Employing historical-philosophical, cultural, ontological, existential, and metatheoretical approaches, along with theoretical methods of historical-cultural and conceptual-philosophical analysis, as well as phenomenological, hermeneutic, sociological, political science, dialectical, and metaphysical methods, the study analyses socio-political forecasting in education and its conceptualization in contemporary philosophical discourse.
The author proposes an original interpretation of socio-political forecasting in education as an ontologizing socio-political phenomenon that serves as a key factor in ensuring the humanitarian security of the state.
It has been demonstrated that socio-political forecasting in education, as both a significant component and a necessary condition of the state’s security space, constitutes an influential factor shaping the trajectory of transformations within the political, cultural, and economic-technological spheres of human activity. It cannot, therefore, be examined merely within the narrow frameworks of sociological or political science problematics, without considering the broader philosophical contexts – particularly those of political and social philosophy, philosophical anthropology, the philosophy of information, the theory of public administration, and contemporary economic theories.
An examination of the philosophical and historical origins of humanitarian security suggests that the seemingly broad conceptualization of this notion tends either to dilute its meaning by extending it to encompass the entire variety of socio-political senses, or to reduce it to quantitatively defined indicators characteristic of sociological or political science descriptions of socio-political reality. The rootedness of the concept of humanitarian security within the Western philosophical tradition can be traced from the texts of classical antiquity (Plato, Aristotle), through Hellenistic and medieval socio-political thought, to the modern and Enlightenment traditions, German classical philosophy, and the modern philosophical and socio-political discourse of the twentieth and twenty-first centuries. This historical trajectory allows us to assert the necessity of a philosophical vision of security as a category interconnected with the notions of space, boundary, whole, and part, as well as with fundamental ontological, ethical, and social categories such as the good, completeness, form, justice, and freedom.
It has been shown that the conceptualization of security – from antiquity to the twentieth century – reveals the interplay and synthesis of several key tendencies, conventionally defined as statist, socio-psychological, and existential. Each of these generates its own descriptions and definitions of security, specific forms and modes of secure existence, and corresponding representations of the structures of security within the human lifeworld, environment, and sociality.
The concept of humanitarian security must therefore be grounded in the philosophical category of security itself and, as such, should appeal to fundamental philosophical values shared by humanity at both the levels of understanding and evaluation – primarily the notions of good and safety. The related categories of freedom and justice, although closely associated with them, are less universal, as they are subject to varying interpretations depending on the philosophical or ideological orientations adopted by individuals and communities.
Security is examined not merely as a social or political phenomenon, but rather as an ontological dimension of human needs that conditions the ontologizing activity of the human being – her self-fulfilment and self-realization. It has been established that viewing security exclusively as a narrowly interpreted psychological inclination proves counterproductive and irrelevant, as it reduces the human world to the sphere of instinctively determined activity and allows the interpretation of the human being as an unconscious agent of evolution. Human behavioural patterns cannot be limited to the pursuit of physiological safety or psychological comfort.
