Burlaj T. Short-term models for forecasting of main macroeconomic indicators

Українська версія

Thesis for the degree of Candidate of Sciences (CSc)

State registration number

0400U000720

Applicant for

Specialization

  • 08.03.02 - Економіко-математичне моделювання

29-02-2000

Specialized Academic Board

Д 26.239.01

Institute of Economics and Forecasting of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine

Essay

Changes of Ukrainian economic conjuncture during 90-s years. To creating econometric tool for a state of Ukrainian economic conjuncture estimation and construction of short-term model for real GDP forecasting. Econometric modeling. Methodology of creating native signal indicators system and its achievement - the System of statistical forecasting indicators; econometric models for real GDP forecasting. System native compositional leading, coincident and lagging indicators. Forecasting calculations on the basis of models are components of Scientific Report by Institute for Economic Forecasting, which was forward to the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine. Central organs of a State government.

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