Arkhypova S. Economic-mathematical modeling of distribution of spare financial recourses

Українська версія

Thesis for the degree of Candidate of Sciences (CSc)

State registration number

0400U000938

Applicant for

Specialization

  • 08.03.02 - Економіко-математичне моделювання

28-03-2000

Specialized Academic Board

К 11.051.01

Essay

Object of research: money allocation on financial market. Purpose of research: development of free resources allocation on financial market technique that is adapted to conditions of unstable economy. Methods of research: economic and mathematical modeling, methods of analysis and synthesis, optimization and simulation methods. Results: theoretic conceptual scheme of system of economic activity subject's free financial resources acquisition is suggested; basic phases of money allocation on financial market and conception of free financial resources allocation are developed; money allocation technique that is a complex of special economic and mathematical models and methods for the conception realization is developed; new methods of investment attraction choice of financial instruments and forecasting of non-stationary time-series are developed; approach to choice of the least risky financial instruments is proposed; method of actual profitability estimation of financial instruments is perfected; usage of direct and indirect stochastic modeling methods for money allocation problems is proved; developed technique of money allocation is experimentally proved in Ikar - Bank (Donetsk). Novelty: theoretic conceptual scheme of internal investment potential attraction, aimed on financial resources potential, conception of money allocation in financial instrument portfolio are developed; perfected by oscillators method of exponential smoothing, providing high accuracy of short-term forecasting of financial market's indexes by forecasting model adaptation to market changes; approach to choice of the least risky financial instruments, based on phased estimation of systematic and non-systematic risk, with estimation tools for each type of risk; system of economic and mathematical models and methods of money allocation with instruments for the realization, realizing conception of money allocation with respect to investor's advantages and providing effective usage of free money resources by means of quick adaptation por tfolio structure to financial market changes. Field of use: enterprise level.

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