Kornienko Y. Еconometric model of the external sector of Ukrainian economy

Українська версія

Thesis for the degree of Candidate of Sciences (CSc)

State registration number

0403U002616

Applicant for

Specialization

  • 08.03.02 - Економіко-математичне моделювання

02-07-2003

Specialized Academic Board

Д 26.001.12

Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv

Essay

The theortical generalization and new sloution of scietific problem of the development of forecasting econometric models of the foreign trade activities are conducted in the thesis. Macroeconometric model for balance of payments ondices forecasting is built and shock is done. There are two scenarios of the balancs of payments forecast and its detailed compopnents are proposed. The main principles of the balance of payments forecast using econometric model for country in transition are formulated and generalized.

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