Bodnar O. System modelling in the nature management's tasks solving based on the space geological monitoring

Українська версія

Thesis for the degree of Candidate of Sciences (CSc)

State registration number

0411U000349

Applicant for

Specialization

  • 05.07.12 - Дистанційні аерокосмічні дослідження

02-02-2011

Specialized Academic Board

д.26.162.03

Essay

The goal of this thesis is scientific application of the system modelling methods for expanding the functional possibility of the space geological monitoring when solving the nature management tasks. The components of these systems are being considered as comprehensive whole only in correlation among each another. The using of multicriteria optimization, system dynamics, adapt balance compliance , expert judgments (hierarchy analysis method and scientific-technical forecast method), genetic algorithm methods were grounded for modelling and forecast in process developing in the natural environment. The received results show a demand for SGM's information in the following sectors: agriculture (0,27), ecology and emergency situation (0,25), natural resources (0,19), cartography (0,17), municipal services (0,12). The comparative appraisal of the alternative variants of space systems structure, which revealed the relevance of using hierarchy analysis and scientific-technical forecast methods was conducted. Using of the system-modelling methods in conditions of Nikopol mining district completed the research of dynamic development of technological stress on areas. Also the system approach to the estimation of oil-gas prospects of a territory was considered. The oil-gas prospects evaluation, based on the system modelling, helps to change the strategy of prospects' work planning, to decrease a volume of geophysical probing.

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