Gizun A. Methods and tools for evaluating the security settings to detect crisis in information sphere

The thesis considers research of current state of development theoretical and practical base that is used to achieve the objectives concept of business continuity management, including crisis management processes, in other words their detection, identification and assessment. The main disadvantage of modern means in this field is the impossibility of their use in weakly-formalized environment and large demands to time and production resources. Considering this, developed integrated model for presenting incidents/potential crisis, defined identifying parameters set, specific to the defined incident categories, and evaluation parameters regarding the critical situation caused by the incident, formalized model of parameters and etalons, and also formed the model of heuristic detection rules and incidents/potential crisis identification. Among other things, developed method of incidents/potential crisis detection, method for evaluation criticality of the situation and new structural solution for detection incidents/potential crisis system, which enable to expand functionality of modern crisis management, namely forecasting, detection and identification of incidents/potential crisis and evaluation crisis. Software is developed and conducted experimental studies that confirmed the adequacy of the developed models, methods and systems.