Aghaei A. Forecasting the risk of bankruptcy in the industrial and banking sphere using fuzzy models and algorithms.

Українська версія

Thesis for the degree of Candidate of Sciences (CSc)

State registration number

0416U000519

Applicant for

Specialization

  • 05.13.23 - Системи та засоби штучного інтелекту

01-03-2016

Specialized Academic Board

Д 26.002.03

Educational and Scientific Complex "Institute for Applied System Analysis" of National Technical University of Ukraine "Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute"r

Essay

The thesis is devoted to the development of models and algorithms for analysis of financial state and forecasting of bankruptcy risk of enterprises and banks in condition of uncertainty, incomplete and unreliable information on the example of the Ukrainian economy. Classical statistical methods for predicting the risk of bankruptcy on the basis of multivariate discriminant analysis, in particular the method of Altman, are analyzed. It revealed its deficiencies and inappropriateness of its use in Ukraine's economy, since it is based on the use of reliable information on the state enterprises.

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