Nechaieva T. Methods and tools for forecasting the generation capacity structure of the electric power system taking into account the environmental requirements

Developed methods of accounting the impact of environmental restraints and requirements in the tasks of optimization of the generating capacity structure, in contrast of existing, allow to investigate the impact of hardness levels of regulatory environmental constraints and environmental emission charges on the amount of operation of various technologies in the electric power system. Developed computation block of calculation models of specific air pollutant emissions of power units and determination the levels of their reduction to regulatory requirements accurately takes into account the characteristics of the fuel and combustion technologies, capabilities and scope of applying the measures to reduce emissions. Using the developed methods, improved system of mathematical models and software and information tools allows to execute integrated assessment of the development prospects of generating capacity structure of the electric power system under different conditions of environmental constraints and requirements implementation. The results were used to develop recommendations to the Fifth and Sixth National Communications on Climate Change, to the draft National Greenhouse Gas Emission Inventories in the years 2008-2014, to the implementation of the provisions and mechanisms of the Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change and the appropriate generating capacity structure of the electric power of Ukraine (Ministry of Energy and Coal Industry of Ukraine, Ministry of Ecology and Natural Resources of Ukraine, The Presidium of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine).