Hololobov A. The methods and models of adaptive risks assessment systems

Dissertation work is sanctified to the decision of actual scientific task of development of assessment risks (AR) of information systems resources (ISR) methods and facilities basis of the use of the descriptions risk bistable integrated cortege model (BIM) and order transformation methods of linguistic variable (LV) to create flexible, adaptive facilities of evaluation. The model of BIM, allowing dinamically to determine the sets of sizes and thus to promote flexibility and adaptivity of the corresponding developed facilities of AR of safety ISR is worked out. The incrementation and decrementation methods of linguistic variables order, that allow to conduct transforming of standards of parameters without using corresponding subject domain experts, are presented. The integrated adaptive method of AR, that due to the model of BIM and transforming of standards of parameters allows to create effective facilities evaluations using as datains the dynamically changeable sets of the estimated parameters both in determined, and in fuzzy is worked out. On the basis of the offered methods and BIM, the model of process of synthesis of the adaptive systems of AR of safety allowing formalize and generalize the process of construction both programmatic and programmatic hardware-based systems intended for effective AR is worked out. The new structural decision of the system, using the offered methods, models of BIM and process of synthesis for the decision of tasks in informative risks assessment area is presented.