Danich V. Modelling similar to avalanche processes in social and economic systems

Українська версія

Thesis for the degree of Doctor of Science (DSc)

State registration number

0506U000195

Thesis Registration Form

0506U000195.pdf

Applicant for

Specialization

  • 08.03.02 - Економіко-математичне моделювання

24-03-2006

Specialized Academic Board

Д26.006.01

Essay

Avalanche-like processes, that takes place in socio-economic systems, and also information-managerial architecture of these systems. Scientific substantiation of methods for prevision of ASEP beginnings and development by creation of avalanche-like processes mathematical theory in socio-economic systems, further development of information systems, prognostication technologies and management by these processes. Methods: system approach, structurally-logical approach, theories of probability and unclear multitudes, cellular automata and multi-agent imitational systems. It was developed methods of dynamic modeling for basic macroeconomic indexes, taking into account the beginning of public panics and agiotage. It was created mathematical and imitational models of panic in information type society, differentiated on economic, socially-psychological and role descriptions. It was offered a conception of information-managerial architecture (IMA) for management subjects and IMA monitoring. It was created and inculcated an informational models and IMA data bases. Ukrainian enterprises and organizations, educational process.

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Files

F01_Титульный лист.doc

F02_Оглавление.doc

F03_Введение.doc

F04_Раздел 1 Обзор и анализ проблемы и методология.doc

F05_Раздел 2 Экономико-математические модели.doc

F06_Раздел 3 Подразделы 1-2-3 Механизмы и модель паники.doc

F07_Раздел 3 Подраздел 4 Модели паники в дифсоциуме.doc

F08_Раздел 3 Подраздел 5 Модели паники с потерей иммунитета.doc

F09_Раздел 4 Подразделы 1-2-3 Имитационные модели паник.doc

F10_Раздел 4 Подраздел 4 Эксперименты по распростр слухов.doc

F11_Раздел 4 Подраздел 5 Исследование реальных паник.doc

F12_Раздел 4 Подраздел 6 Имитационные эксперименты.doc

F13_Раздел 4 Подраздел 7 Проверка адекватности моделей.doc

F14_Раздел 5 Подраздел 1 ИУА-Общая характеристика.doc

F15_Раздел 5 Подраздел 2 Объектные модели и БД ИУА.doc

F16_Раздел 5 Подразделы 3-4 Реляционные модели и БД ИУА.doc

F17_Раздел 6 Применение моделей быстрых процессов.doc

F18_Выводы.doc

F19_Литература к диссертации.doc

F20_Приложение (с таблицами и рисунками).doc

А_Основная часть_Полный_вариант_17-02-06.doc

А_Титульный лист_17-02-06.doc

Статистика диссертации.doc

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