Butenko O. Methodology for predicting the development of the anomalies of human origin on the basis of logical and algebraic models of complex data on ecosystem monitoring

The object is the development processes of anomalies of anthropogenous origin in natural ecosystems. The objective is to increase forecasting delivery efficiency in conditions of the limited apriori information by theory development for dynamics forecasting of anthropogenous anomalies on the basis of new methods of the complex analysis for ecosystem monitoring data. The methods are: methods of probability theory and mathematical statistics, tensor analysis, theory of accidents, theory of counts, theory of dynamic chaos, algebra of indistinct sets, synergetics, photogrammetry. For the first time the method of hierarchical construction for the given images in form of "criterial trees" is offered, allowing to formalize rules of homogeneous fragments segmentation. For the first time the method of changes revealing for ecosystem irregularities and degree definitions of analyzed element accessory to the set of class objects. For the first time the method for formalization of algebraic operations is offered at the stage of integration of diverse data and data occurring at different times. For the first time the axiomatics for definition of likelihood border changes of anomaly condition was formulated and proved at construction of time series in the condition of limited apriori information. The technique for definition of the revolting factors causing change of anomalies was improved. The method for development identification of anomalies was improved. The methods for definition of coordinate amendments of analyzed anomalies received further development.