Movchan U. Theoretical and methodological principles of strategic planning and forecasting of political and legal development of Ukraine

Українська версія

Thesis for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)

State registration number

0824U003253

Applicant for

Specialization

  • 052 - Політологія

05-03-2024

Specialized Academic Board

ДФ 4906

Institute of State and Law. V.M. Koretsky National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine

Essay

The dissertation explores the theoretical and methodological foundations of strategic planning and forecasting for the political and legal development of Ukraine. It comprehensively examines the theoretical underpinnings of strategic planning and political forecasting, including the conceptual framework, principles, and the interplay of key concepts. Additionally, it establishes a methodological foundation for strategic planning and political forecasting related to the political and legal development of the state. The study delves into the specifics of utilizing planning and forecasting models and methods across various approaches. It analyzes the historical evolution of strategic planning for the political and legal development of Ukraine, investigating the challenges and impediments to its contemporary implementation in the country. Furthermore, the international experience of strategic planning is considered, and an analysis of its effectiveness when implemented in Ukraine is conducted. The dissertation concludes by providing recommendations for the establishment of a strategic planning system for the political and legal development of Ukraine. 7 To establish the theoretical foundation of strategic planning, the study meticulously examines the concepts of strategy and tactics, exploring their evolution within the context of various socio-political sciences and modern approaches to understanding. It delves into the analysis of the differences and relationships between strategy and tactics, emphasizing their connection to the planning and determination of tools for achieving specific goals. While tactics are not acknowledged as an entirely independent unit within the strategic planning process, they are recognized as integral components of strategy, facilitating the consistent attainment of objectives. The concept of strategic planning, encompassing both strategy and tactics, is explored in the context of various approaches and schools. It is emphasized that strategic planning is a broader concept than state strategic planning. However, it is essential to note that the strategic planning of the political and legal development of the state encompasses the realms of state planning. Additionally, strategic planning can be viewed as part of a comprehensive strategic management practice that aligns the planning process with direct implementation. To investigate the relationship between strategic planning and different contexts of political and legal development, the study considers the concepts of state planning, state strategy, and strategic management. It analyzes the principles guiding the process of strategic planning for political and legal development, along with the specificities inherent in this process. Notably, the text introduces, for the first time, a definition of the concept of political and legal development, characterizing it as the process of forming or improving the political and legal system of the state through the utilization of a cohesive and mutually coordinated set of political and legal means and instruments. In this work, the theoretical foundation for political forecasting, as a crucial stage in the strategic planning of political and legal development, is established, and the relationship between political forecasting and political analysis is explored. Despite being distinct and treated as separate branches of scientific knowledge, the political forecasting process is deemed impossible without prior analysis. It is 8 imperative to strive for coherence in both strategic planning and political forecasting. For the first time, a comprehensive methodological framework has been developed for strategic planning and political forecasting, with the latter identified as a key stage, in the context of the political and legal development of the state. This methodology can be practically applied to the strategic planning of the political and legal development of Ukraine. The selection of specific technologies, tools, and methods for strategic planning hinges on the identification of a relevant approach to implementation. The work examines various typologies of approaches to strategic planning, and the development of a strategic plan is characterized by specific details and the presence of distinct stages based on the chosen approach. Additionally, different levels of organizational strategies are defined, enabling the planning of the political and legal development of the state for various elements within the system of state authorities or other organizations. Moreover, during the implementation of strategic planning, it is crucial to consider the criteria and limitations that impact the effectiveness of this process. The work proposes specific methods for the strategic planning of the political and legal development of the state.

Research papers

Мовчан У.В. Сучасний стан стратегічного планування політико-правового розвитку України. Держава і право. 2023. Вип. 94. С. 254-261.

Мовчан У.В. Використання методів моделювання у процесі стратегічного планування політико-правового розвитку держави. Держава і право. 2023. Вип. 93. С. 248-255.

Мовчан У.В. Методологічні підходи до здійснення стратегічного планування політико-правового розвитку держави. Актуальні проблеми політики. 2022. Вип. 69. С. 31-45.

Мовчан У.В. Проблемні аспекти стратегічного планування політико-правового розвитку України та можливості використання зарубіжного досвіду. Вісник Львівського університету. 2022. Вип. 41. С. 137-145.

Мовчан У.В. Проблеми стратегічного планування в Україні в контексті повномасштабної війни. Вісник НТУУ «КПІ». Політологія. Соціологія. Право. 2022. Вип. 54. С. 23-26.

Мовчан У.В. Вплив війни Росії проти України на демократичний політико-правовий розвиток Української держави і світу. Держава і право. 2022. Вип. 91. С. 195-200.

Мовчан У.В. Особливості стратегічного планування політико-правового розвитку держави. Держава і право. 2021. Вип. 90. С. 242-250.

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