Didenko O. Management of scientific and technological progress based on improvement of the risk-management of innovations

Українська версія

Thesis for the degree of Candidate of Sciences (CSc)

State registration number

0405U003824

Applicant for

Specialization

  • 08.02.02 - Економіка та управління науково-технічним прогресом

30-09-2005

Specialized Academic Board

К 55.051.01

Essay

The object of research is economic relations which appear as a result of managing the scientific and technical progress and innovation. The purpose of research is developing scientific and metodical approaches to managing the scientific and technical progress on the basis of the system of risk-management innovations which should stimulate the progress. The methods of research are the following: comparative and statistic analyses, a method of logical generalization, a systems and structural anlysis, a multiple-factor analysis, a method of expert assessment, an index method and a method of grouping. The oretical and practical results and novelty: the classification of innovation risks on the basis of estimating their specific manifestations is worked out; scientific and methodical bases of the formation of the complex system of the risk management of innovations are defined and some recommendations how to determine their components are given, the definition of the economic essence of the category "risk of innovations" is developed; the methodical approaches to making a quality analysis of the risks in an innovation project through structural decomposition of risk factors according to its lifecycle stages are worked out, some scientific and methodical approaches to estimate an integral expected result from the innovation project on the basis of the concept of stochastic, interval and interval-stochastic uncertainly are suggested. These approaches are based on the substitution of the criterion of the mahematical expectancy with mode and using modified asymmetric modal deviations; the system of criteria of the selection of the norm of estimating risk on the obtained effect is suggested, the system of limitations in using the method of correcting the norm of discount for innovation projects and criteria for the definition of a factor increase in risk premium for main types of specific risks of innovations are given; the systematization of the methods of quantity and quality assessment of risks with the purposeof using them in the risk management of innovations is futher worked out and methodical approaches to assess risks in innovations depending on the stage of completing an innovation project and methodical approaches to work out the system of criteria which help to choose an optimal method for estimating risk when assessing the efficiency of innovation projects are suggested. The level of implementation: some scientific and methodical positions are implemented at the enterprices "Energo-Sojuz" (limited partnership), "Gidromash" ltd and are used in some diplines ("Economic Risk and Methods of its Estimation", "Innovation Management", "Economy and Organization of Innovation Activity", "Investment Project Analyses") at Sumy state university. The sphere of application: enterprices, organisations, state and regional administration bodies.

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