Tsyganyuk A. Science-methodical bases of analysis and prognostication of structural changes in the basic asms of GDP on the stage productions.

On the basis of modification lag of structure of big systems, the method of forecasting of GDP aggregate structure in terms of External Economic Activity that suggests integration of formal methods and expert estimations is worked out in the thesis. By applying methodological approaches that have been elaborated we made a forecast of GDP aggregate structure for a medium-term period (2008-2013) proceeding from prerequisites and targets of economic development and measures of state policy in implementation of the declared investment-innovative model, improvement of competitiveness of national production, introduction of energy-saving technologies as well as increasing of production of highly technological science-intensive goods with high rate of value added. We support selective approach for state support of introduction of new technologies and classify range of methods and facilities of structural policy implementation in the thesis.