Fedoruk O. Methodical foundations to diagnostics of probability of enterprises' bankruptcy

Українська версія

Thesis for the degree of Candidate of Sciences (CSc)

State registration number

0411U007239

Applicant for

Specialization

  • 08.00.04 - Економіка та управління підприємствами (за видами економічної діяльності)

21-12-2011

Specialized Academic Board

Д 26.059.04

Essay

The object is the process of diagnostics of enterprises' economic activity in conditions of macroeconomic instability. The purpose is the improvement of theoretical propositions and technical approaches to diagnostics of probability of bankruptcy and to prevention of crisis phenomena on enterprises. Methods - abstracting, analysis and synthesis, induction and deduction, systems approach, modelling, methods of mathematical statistics, in particular methods of analysis of time series, regression and correlation analysis, statistical inquiry, expert assessments, graphic method. The model of cognitive diagnostics of probability of enterprises' bankruptcy is first developed, which is included quantitative diagnostics (Q-diagnostics), which is based on appraisal of finance indicators; and qualitative (verbal) diagnostics (V-diagnostics), which is based on research of nonfinancial verbal indicators (indicators of subjective character). Theoretical and methodological foundation of formation of indices' integrated system of estimation of enterprises' development condition, order of selection and ranking of indicators of fuzzy cognitive model of diagnostics of probability of enterprises' bankruptcy are improved. Definition of essence of economic enterprises' diagnostics, theoretical propositions concerning interpretation of crisis phenomena' content in enterprises' activity are received subsequent development.

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