Sotnik O. The method of forecasting of load characteristics in rural power networks for municipal and domestic purposes.

Object - processes of electrical loads in rural power networks for municipal and domestic purposes. Aim - the thesis is devoted to the urgent problem of developing of improved methods of forecasting and calculation of technical and economic indices taking into the consideration the specified characteristics of the power factor under the conditions of input reactive power increase in rural power networks for municipal and domestic purposes. Methods - methods of probability theory and mathematical statistics, including correlation, regression and harmonic analysis, methods of mathematical modeling and analysis of time series. Scientific novelty - the simulator of power factor diurnal variations for every season for a rural dwelling house and a transformer substation has been developed for forecasting of load characteristics and the regularity of change of modern power factor of rural municipal and domestic electrical load. The relation between active and reactive components of rural municipal and domestic electrical load on the base of linear regression equations has been established. The method of calculation energy loss and voltage in rural 0.4 kW distribution networks has been improved. The device circuits for reactive energy records with active energy inductive single-phase meter have been developed.The rezults of researches can be drawn on by project in the construction of electric lines with a voltage of 0.4 kV. Sphere of use - electric power industry.