Коshchiy O. Prognostication of market conjuncture of dairy products taking into account recurrence of development of Ukraine economy

Українська версія

Thesis for the degree of Doctor of Science (DSc)

State registration number

0510U000292

Applicant for

Specialization

  • 08.00.03 - Економіка та управління національним господарством

09-04-2010

Specialized Academic Board

Д 44.052.03

Poltava National Technical Yuri Kondratyuk University

Essay

Object - process of formation of market condition in conditions of market economy. The purpose: a substantiation and development of teoretiko-methodological positions and scientific-practical recommendations conceming forecasting market condition (bu the example of the market of dairy products) in view of multicyclicity of its formation and development of offers on its state anticyclic regulation. Methods: an induction, deduction, average and relative sizes, correlation and regressive analysis, extrapolations, mathematical modelling. Novelty: - it is developed: the methodological approach to estimate dependences of market condition on a course of cyclic processes in global and national economy, the approach to development of the multiple forecast conjuncture the national makcet and conjuncture of the commodity market in view of features of course of long waves and intermediate term cycles in global and national economy; Presence is sdentified and the long wave and an intermediate term cycle in national economy is dated. Results - the business cycle forecast of the domestic market of dairy products is developed; it is introduced bu development of conceptions, strategy, programs and forecasts of development of the market of dairy products of Ukraine within 2007-2010 the Mnistru for an agrarian policy of Ukraine and National association milkmen Ukraine "Ukrmolprom". Branch- national economy.

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