Ivanova N. Forecasting of the ensuring economic security of the national economy: the regional aspect

A comprehensive solution of the scientific problem of theoretical and methodological principles’ substantiation, the development of conceptual guidelines and practical recommendations for the regional aspect of the economic security’s forecasting of the ensuring national economy are presented in the dissertation. The concept of «economic security» with the regional aspect is evolved on the basis of the generalization of the domestic and foreign economists’ researching. The conceptual model of the system of economic security management at the regional level, which consists of the subject (control subsystem), the object (controlled subsystem) and the mechanism of economic security of the region, is developed. The key threats of the economic security of the region are structured and expanded; the result is a hierarchical structure with distinguishing of nine levels’ threats. The methodological principles of the economic security’s forecasting of the regions have been made, namely, the purpose of the economic security’s forecasting of the regions, the principles, methods, stages and tasks of forecasting have been developed. The methodical tools for the economic security’s forecasting of the regions have been improved through using of methods of multidimensional statistical analysis: taxonomic, canonical and component. An assessment of the socio-economical development of Ukrainian regions was carried out by identifying the trends of the main indicators. The scientific-methodical approach to the analysis of the economic security’s level of the regions of Ukraine according to the degree of their socio-economical development is developed using the method of taxonomic analysis. The regional disparity of the economic security of the national economy on the basis of the existing regional clusters («High», «Medium»