Kamasheva N. Statistical Measurement of Correlations between the Ukrainian GDP and Monetary Indicators

Українська версія

Thesis for the degree of Candidate of Sciences (CSc)

State registration number

0405U003630

Applicant for

Specialization

  • 08.03.01 - Економічна статистика

27-09-2005

Specialized Academic Board

К 26.870.01

Essay

3.Object of research: Ukrainian economy. Purpose of research: informatively-analytical providing of statistical estimation of relationship of the main summarizing indicator of level of economic development of the Ukrainian GDP and monetary indicators. Methods of research: analysis, synthesis, methods of comparison, generalization and scientific abstraction, graphic method, correlation-regressive analysis, analysis of dynamic rows and averages. The theoretical and practical results: approaches are improved in relation to the statistical evaluation of intercommuni-cation of the GDP and monetary indicators. The results of re-search have been used in the authors’ publications, conference reports, in activity of public authorities. The scientific novelty consists in the theoretical grounding and decision of the practical questions concerned with the use of statistical methods of research of intercommunications for creation of the informatively-analytical providing of statistical estimation of relationshipof the GDP and monetary indicators. During the process of inquiry we got the results. It is typical of them a scientific novelty: for the first time it is well-founded and offered: suggestions in relation to systematization of a complex of the monetary indicators with the purpose of their use in development of economy policy; suggestions in relation to expedience of the use of separate regressions equations and their systems for the statistical evaluation of relationship of the GDP and indicators of money-and-credit market; improved: the method of analysis of relationship of the GDP and separate monetary indicators; the model of forecasting of monthly rates of the real Ukrainian GDP growth depending on the changes at the money-and-credit market and taking into account inflationary processes; got the following development: the statistical model of forecasting of the quarterly rates of the real GDP growth on a shot-term period taking into account the features of it’s calculation by a production method. Extent of implementation: the results of research are used of the activity of the economic analysis, research and forecasting Department of the National Bank of Ukraine and in the educational process in the State Academy of Statistics, Accounting and Auditing of State Statistics Committee of Ukraine at the guidance providing of the course „Statistics of national accounts”. Efficiency of implementation: it provides the efficiency of administrative decision-making decision at development of the effective economic policy directed on the long-term economy growth. Sphere of usage: the activity of organs of state statistics and public authorities.

Files

Similar theses