Chechel O. Prognostication of development of agriculture and AIC in providing of food safety of territory

Object: process of diagnostics of the state of economy of AIC of Ukraine. Aim: increase of efficiency of management by food safety of territory due to the forecast planning and analysis of economic position of functioning of AIC of territory in market conditions. Methods: systems analysis, comparison, pattern recognition, Bayes method of prognostication. Results: the models of prognostication of indexes of development of economy are developed, methods of expert-statistical selection of meaningful informing factors, set rules of estimation of the state and establishment of maximum levels of indexes of food safety of territory. New ness: : the use of Bayes procedure of prognostication of factors, which affect food safety of region in unstable terms, offered new complex approach for estimation of the state of food safety of region, is offered. Sphere of introduction: organs of state administration.