Ivanova O. The classification of the baric fields and synoptic-statistical method of the detailed weather forecasting with the month earliness for the territory of Ukraine

The dissertation submitted for a Doctor of philosophy in Geographical Science, specialized field 11.00.09 - Meteorology, climatology, agrometeorology. - Kiev National University, Kiev, 2008. Dissertation work is devoted to research of change of large-scale and regional atmospheric circulation of the last decade and to development of synoptic-statistical method of forecast of the daily fields of the sea-level pressure of air on a term from one to two months. On the basis of uniting of information got by the traditional method of analogues and by method of floating analogue of weather processes the new synoptic-statistical scheme of long-range forecast of the daily fields of the sea-level pressure on sequential 60 days is developed which has allowed to improve the prognostic method of long-range weather forecast of UHMI for making detailed weather forecast with monthly earliness for the territory of Ukraine. Key words: atmosphere circulation, classification and еtalon of the synoptic process, analyticalperformance of the field, expansion in series by Chebyshev polynoms, the long-range detailed forecast.