Atajev S. Mark estimation of influence on environment of hydraulic technical constructions with risk taking into account

Object - influence of hydraulic engineering constructions (HEC) on environment. The purpose - working out of scientifically proved technique of a mark estimation of influence on environment HEC taking into account risk which can be used at various stages of life cycle of constructions. Methods - the system-structural and is abstract-logical analysis at identification of prirodno-technical systems HEC, indistinct modelling, the theory of risk and the decision-making theory at identification and the quantitative characteristic of effects of influence HEC. Novelty - it is developed model of a complex mark estimation and forecasting of influence HEC for Wednesday and the population in which the risk of influence of constructions on the basis of comparison of various alternatives and uncertainty of expert estimations of influence of constructions for the first time is considered; It is developed model of a mark estimation of risk of influence HEC on separate compound and environment as a whole which allows to weigh all utility and the dangers connected with change of their condition at interaction with constructions; it is developed interval logarithmic scales of change of a condition various compound environments at interaction with constructions; it is put and solved a problem of an estimation of influence on Wednesday of effect of descent of a water basin; it is developed the concept of procedure of an estimation of influence on environment as iterative process which irrespective of the information about a condition of environment allows to watch tendencies of its change at any moment. It is developed a new technique of the analysis and an estimation of level of ecological safety HEC irrespective of territorial conditions and a life cycle stage, it is introduced in industrial and educational activity. Branch - ecology and safety of engineering constructions.