Voloshchuk O. Scientific substantiation of the methodical approach to the definition of dynamic changes in the parameters of the state of atmospheric air, drinking water and morbidity of the population

The dissertation is devoted to the scientific substantiation of the methodical approach to the evaluation and analysis of the intensity of the dynamics of complex indicators of the state of the environment and population morbidity on the basis of the calculation of coefficients of single-factor regression models. The assessment of the impact of drinking water and atmospheric air pollution on the general and primary morbidity of the adult and child population has been improved on the basis of determining the intensity of the impact of the respective pollution indicator. A comparative analysis of the informativeness of complex indicators of drinking water quality and atmospheric air for assessing the intensity of the influence of pollution of drinking water and atmospheric air on the general and primary morbidity of the adult and child population was made. It was established that the level of general morbidity of the adult and infant population is more influenced by contaminated substances regulated by physical and chemical indicators of water quality. It was established that the level of general and primary morbidity of the adult population is influenced more by substances entering the atmosphere from mobile sources of pollution, and by the level of general and primary morbidity of the children population - substances from stationary sources of pollution. It is confirmed that the number of chronic pathology of the adult population is significantly twice as high as that of the child in all nosologies, and the number of chronic pathology of the blood circulation system of the adult population exceeds the corresponding indicator of the children's population by four times. It is confirmed that the primary morbidity for all classes of diseases is characterized by a higher mortality rate, compared with the overall morbidity.It was established that despite the more intense reduction or increase in the values of the calculated indices of individual nosologies, the structure of chronic pathology and mortality at the end of the time interval varies insignificantly with respect to the initial year of the analysis. At the same time, the growth of the values ??of the indexes may be an indicator of the change in the level of the existing or the emergence of an additional risk factor that affects the specific nosology.The methodical approach is offered and the algorithm of quantitative estimation of influence of pollution of drinking water and atmospheric air on the morbidity of adult and children population is developed.