Arzyutov G. The theory and methods step by step long-term training (Judo)

The theory and methods step by step long-term training. At this work is protected the concept of long-term preparation in sports wrestling, which is based on biological - optimum terms of active occupations in an elected kind of sports. At this state program are issued the 2-nd period of preparation for Sport school, the methodology of long-term, multifactor processes as the theory of pedagogical look ahead of the judoka's sports future. The contents and structure of the theory of pedagogical look ahead are developed, the concept of a ultimate goal of tutoring, is found a theoretical solution of a problem "a degree of assimilation of single movement", tutoring of all kinds of judo engineering. The national qualifying system КIU and DAN is developed and accepted by Judo Federation of Ukraine. European judo Union and International Judo Institute Kodokan (Japan) registers the system. The model step by step long-term training is performed in Judo theory for the first time. The model contests six stages ( 4 -year each). The model lasts 24 years at the age of 8-32. The look ahead theory of judoka's sport future let plan the generalised readiness of judo sportsmen at the different stages of the training. The structure of scientific look ahead contains prognostication, prediction, planing, modelling and anticipation. The look ahead proceeding is executed the same order. This look ahead method let realise the prediction of Olympic selection 2000 with a mistake of 14 %. Long-term preparation of the sportsmen, judoka of high qualification, theory of pedagogical look ahead, prognostication, prediction, planing, modelling.