Grabchuk O. Financial forecasting of Ukraine's economic development under conditions of uncertainty

Українська версія

Thesis for the degree of Doctor of Science (DSc)

State registration number

0513U000134

Applicant for

Specialization

  • 08.00.08 - Гроші, фінанси і кредит

25-01-2013

Specialized Academic Board

Д55.081.01

Essay

The thesis determines theoretical and methodological basis of financial fore-casting under conditions of uncertainty. The essence and content of financial fore-casting, scientific and methodological as well as economic and organizational foun-dations of forecasting of Ukraine's economic development have been specified. The principles of financial forecasting of economic development under conditions of un-certainty have been defined. The classification systems of uncertainty of financial processes have been presented in this work. The methodological foundations of fi-nancial forecasting of economic development under conditions of uncertainty on the basis of the entropy of financial properties have been formed. The hypothesis of in-terdependency of the stages of economic system's development and entropy produc-tion of financial characteristics for Ukrainian economy have been proved. The notion of financial homeostasis of economic development has been pro-posed and formalized. The states of financial homeostasis for inflationary processes and financial characteristics of the external sector of the economy have been defined. The approaches to define the forecast properties of financial instruments which are essential to achieve the state of financial homeostasis have been developed.

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