Toropov B. Development of Passenger Complexes on the Basis of Regularities of Forming Passenger Flows.

The object of rethearch is passenger complexes and transport changing junctions. The aim of research is to reveal regularities of forming passenger flows at transport changing joints and passenger complexes. The methods of research are methods of mathematical statistics, probability theory, simulation of complex dynamic processes by means of probabilistic automatic simulation. Principal theoretical results: criteria of regularities of forming passenger flows are determined and justified; scientific expertise procedure of developing railway terminal complexes and three -level system of evaluating quality of passenger are suggested. Principal practical results: scientific approaches of forming passenger flows are suggested and implemented by the Desing and Surveying Institute KYIVDIPROTRANS in the project of development of railway complex and the feasibility study " City Passenger Rail Services in Kyiv" and in Kyiv Railway Transport Institute for training specialists. The novelty of research is that cri teria of regularities of forming of passenger flows are determined and justified; models of "group behaviour" of passengers are specified, and their parameters evaluation is obtained. The concept of passenger imitation model at transport changing junctions on the basis of superposition principle of elementary flows is developed. The probabilistic automatic model of passenger flows dynamics is developed, its algorithmic support being presented. The sphere of application is passenger complexes and transport changing junctions.