Grabovskyy A. Forecasting monetary inducators in the governmental economic regulation system

Українська версія

Thesis for the degree of Candidate of Sciences (CSc)

State registration number

0406U003361

Applicant for

Specialization

  • 08.02.03 - Організація управління, планування і регулювання економікою

23-06-2006

Specialized Academic Board

Д26.006.03

Essay

Conditions and results of monetary sphere functioning in Ukraine. Improvement of monetary indexes prognostication methodology and its role deepening in substantiation of Ukrainian macroeconomic policy. Methods: economic-statistical, comparative analysis, expert estimations, abstractly-logical, graphic. Dissertation is dedicated to development of theoretic-methodological bases for monetary indexes prognostication. It is specifies socio-economic nature of monetary prognostication, which can become an efficient instrument in system of state economy adjustment. It is determine the proceed preconditions for monetary prognostication in transformational economy. For prognostication sphere of monetary indexes it is introduce a motion concerning inculcation the so-called imitative modelling. It was developed algorithm of monetary prognosis basing on construction of econometric model. It was offered the ways for improving of prognoses in monetary sphere. Using the methodology of imitative modelling it was constructed and approbated a row of monetary indexes dynamic models, on base of which it was done its prognosis on retrospective (2005) and on 2006. State management organs, eductional process.

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