Balatskyi M. Organizational and technological and stochastic modeling construction in the preparatory phase

The thesis is devoted to the development of a scientific methodological tool for the organization of construction as part of the life cycle of a development project (DSP), based on the use of stochastic algorithms and BIM-models for the preparation and administration of such projects in a modern development format. The results of the work are an actualized response to new requirements in the organization of construction, when the main initial prerequisite for the successful implementation of the construction project is compliance with the requirements of the customer implementing the project on the development platform as part of an integrated investment program. The results of the work make it possible to assess the conformity of the project to the requirements of the customer and the developer in terms of the ability to successfully prepare and administer the construction project as a management company as part of an updated integrated toolkit for the preparation and organization of construction. The determining methodological and applied advantage of the developed model of administration of the construction project is that the stochastic, organizational and technological model of the building object in the format of BIM-technology, grounded in the tools created in the work, in a new way structures and regulates the content and format of the stages and works of the construction project: from design of an investment plan, choice of a scheme for project development — until the completion of the activity of the organizational page headed by the developer management structures such as ‘project office’ + ‘headquarters-team’ within the framework of the project, commissioning of capacities within the project. The leading innovation of this model is the implementation of scenario-simulation and stochastic modules in the composition of a single algorithm for calculating and adjusting the parameters of preparation and organization of construction as part of a virtual stochastic model of a construction object. The leading analytical component of these modules is a scenario-imitation matrix and a random event generator used together. These stochastic modules provide a scenario-probabilistic assessment of the leading characteristics of the work on the project and formally implement such an assessment, in the form of analytical correctors for the increase in the duration and cost of individual works. The model also implements an innovative criterial base for selecting options for aggregate building organization models for chipboard. The complex of applied programs created on the basis of theoretical models provides stochastic estimation and correction of characteristics of preparation and organization of construction during the DCP cycle — both for individual works and for the construction site as a whole. Special modules in the software package for the work and stages of the EAF allow you to assess the impact of the progress of the project on the dynamics of the effectiveness of the company-developer.