Sevostianova A. Models and methods of managing threats and opportunities of stakeholders of wind energy projects

The dissertation is devoted to the development of models and methods of managing the threats and opportunities of stakeholders of wind energy projects. Each of the stakeholders of wind energy projects on the one hand has a positive impact, which opens up opportunities for PVE, and on the other hand, may have a negative impact that causes or leads to risks. Existing uncertainties and inconsistencies lead to high risks associated with PVE stakeholders, which jeopardize the implementation and effectiveness of such projects. In the dissertation a conceptual model of risk balance (opportunities and threats) of WPP stakeholders was developed, which takes into account the opportunities and threats of stakeholders, which are antipolar, mutually opposing and limiting each other, and provides the increasing of the efficiency indicators of management of such projects by reducing the stakeholders’ risk: increase the opportunities for positive impact of participants and reduce their threats, while maintaining a stable state of the system, within three categories that correspond to the triangle of project management goals: duration, cost, quality, possible by combining risk management techniques (opportunity management and risk management) . It is determined that according to the states of the system of interaction of opportunities and threats of WPP stakeholders, all stakeholders can be divided into three groups: threatening, harmonized and chanced. The mathematical model of stakeholder management is further developed and the mathematical model of WPP stakeholder risk management is obtained, which allows to describe possible states of opportunities, threats and risk balances of project’s stakeholders by iterative processes of estimating their probabilistic values for each stakeholder, and reduce the overall losses of such projects by selecting less risky stakeholders to implement WPP. A method of risk management of WPP stakeholders has been developed, which takes into account possible states of interaction of stakeholders' opportunities and threats according to the values of their risk balances and allows to increase management efficiency by reducing high and medium threats to threatening stakeholders using the tree method. The method of stakeholder management has been improved and the method of managing risk balances of stakeholders of wind power projects by using methods of creative thinking and design thinking has been obtained, which increases low and medium opportunities for harmonized stakeholders and allows to assess and improve risk balances. and improve management efficiency.