Krol K. Models and methods of anti-risk management of agro-industrial complex projects’ stakeholders

Українська версія

Thesis for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)

State registration number

0822U100448

Applicant for

Specialization

  • 073 - Управління та адміністрування. Менеджмент

24-01-2022

Specialized Academic Board

ДФ 26.056.032

Kyiv National University of Construction and Architecture

Essay

The actual scientific task was solved in the thesis research, which was performed in order to develop theoretical and applied models and methods of anti-risk management of agro-industrial complex projects’ stakeholders to reduce the duration, cost and risks of agro-industrial complex projects, in particular, the risks associated with the stakeholders of the projects, which contributes to the effectiveness of management of agro-industrial complex projects. The analysis of the current state of the agro-industrial complex of Ukraine was carried out. The identification of the stakeholders in agro-industrial complex projects and their characteristics were identified, which helped to classify according to their location in relation to the project, the impact on the project and degree of support for the project. Applying the stakeholder map of agro-industrial complex projects, the degree of support and opposition by each stakeholder of the project was assessed. The author also carried out the identification of risks associated with the stakeholders of agro-industrial complex projects and developed the countermeasures to control certain risks. The author has developed a conceptual model of the mental space of the stakeholders of agro-industrial complex projects of anti-risk management of agro-industrial complex projects’ stakeholders, which allows to identify common and different features in the mentality of the project stakeholders, which in turn allows to develop the necessary strategies for managing the stakeholders of agro-industrial complex projects in order to reduce the risks associated with them. The method of planning the register of stakeholders of agro-industrial complex projects, taking into account their risks and mentality, which is a tool of anti-risk management of agro-industrial complex projects’ stakeholders and, based on the preliminary calculations, allows to make a choice in favor of the combination of project stakeholders with the maximum common mentality and minimum risk, which increases the effectiveness of stakeholder management of such projects, reduction of risk events associated with them, and, as a result, leads to the reduction in the overall risk of the project. The mathematical model of anti-risk management of agro-industrial complex projects’ stakeholders has been improved based on determining the common and different features in the mentality of the project stakeholders, in order to implement effective stakeholder management of agro-industrial complex projects. The method of determining all the complete paths of the network schedule of agro-industrial complex projects has been improved, which allows to determine all the complete paths on the network schedule of project works in order to select the optimal path by the required criterion. It is recommended to use the method of determining all full paths of the network schedule of agro-industrial complex projects as one of the stages of the method of risk management of agro-industrial complex projects on the basis of the critical path. The method of risk management of agro-industrial complex projects based on the critical path has been further developed, allowing to determine the critical path of the network schedule of the project, taking into account the time of the work and the value of the risk of such project, in order to develop appropriate measures to reduce the risks on the critical path of the project and reduce the level of overall risk of the agro-industrial project. By using the method of planning the register of stakeholders of agro-industrial complex projects, taking into account their risks and mentality, the analysis of stakeholders of the project was carried out, taking into account their risks and mentality. In particular, the register of stakeholders of the project was obtained, the base of alternatives of their roles was built, as well as the assessment of their impact on the project was carried out. Based on the specific roles of stakeholders, the risks associated with them were identified and assessed, and their mentality indicators were evaluated. Such actions, in turn, made it possible to identify the roles in which there is a common stakeholder mental space, and to select the optimal combination with the minimum risk and maximum mentality of each role. The results of the thesis research were implemented in the process of anti-risk management of agro-industrial complex projects’ stakeholders in the Private agricultural enterprise ”Oleksandriia” and the Additional liability company “Terezino”. The application of the models and methods of anti-risk management of agro-industrial complex projects’ stakeholders developed by the author allowed to reduce the level of unexpected costs by 8-12% compared to other similar projects. Keywords: project management, risk management, stakeholder management, agro-industrial complex projects, project stakeholders, risks, mentality, models and methods, anti-risk management.

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