Kudin R. There are a forecasting of maintenance services demand of motor-car population in the projects of service centres' development

Mathematical model is build, which ties together characteristics of maintenance services demand and age-class composition of personal motor-car population. For its realisation the following dependencies are set on cars' age: run from beginning of exploitation; effort with maintenance works and repair of cars' visits; frequency of visiting of service stations and orders' structure of repair services. Dependencies of every type's effort on average car's age are got, that allowed to define for today rational structure of productive capacity of universal service stations. The rates of ageing every segment of motor-car population are forecasted and recommendations as for priority directions of development of repair capacity of service centres are worked out.