The thesis is devoted to the theoretical substantiation, improvement and development of theoretical positions, methodical approaches and development of practical recommendations concerning an estimation of risks of innovative activity in strategic planning of development of the enterprise.
The first section of the dissertation examines statistics on the dynamics of creation and closure of enterprises in different countries, as well as the survival of enterprises during the first five years of its existence.
The main approaches to defining the concepts of strategy and enterprise development using the methods of morphological and content analysis are summarized, which together with the definition of the main stages of the enterprise life cycle allowed to improve the definition of strategic planning of enterprise development.
The main approaches to defining the concepts of innovation, innovation, risk, innovation risk and innovation risk are summarized, which made it possible to distinguish between the concepts of innovation risk and innovation risk by using the criterion by type of enterprise that develops or implements and / or plans to develop or implement innovation projects in its activities, according to which innovation risks are considered as risks of innovation activities that are characteristic of innovative enterprises. The main normative and legal documents regulating innovation activity in Ukraine are considered.
The second section of the dissertation summarizes the factors of the internal and external environment of the enterprise, which should be taken into account when assessing the risks of innovation in the strategic planning of enterprise development. The methodical approach to risk assessment of innovative activity of the enterprise is improved taking into account risk factors of external and internal environment of the enterprise at each stage of a life cycle of the innovative project which gave the chance to compare riskiness of potential innovative projects.
The third section of the dissertation improved the methodological tools for determining the risk of an innovative project by forming a table of probabilities of survival of innovative projects during the stages/substages of their life cycle for projects of information and pharmaceutical industries, machinery and equipment and other industries based on the study; construction of the graph of probability of survival of projects and models of the analysis of non-realization of projects on the basis of the carried-out calculations for each of the considered branches. The potential riskiness of the analyzed projects depending on the number of stages / substages of their life cycle is calculated in order to further compare and select the sequence of their implementation in the process of strategic planning of enterprise development.
Improved methodological support for the implementation of the risk assessment system of innovation in the process of strategic planning of enterprise development, namely the stage "Evaluation of existing strategies and risk assessment of innovation activities of proposed projects", by highlighting the basic principles of implementing the risk assessment process methodological support, which should include organizational, personnel, methodological, informational, analytical and financial support.
The scientific and methodological approach to strategic planning of enterprise development based on risk assessment of innovation activity of each stage of the innovation project life cycle and identification of risk areas to which the considered projects fall, in order to provide recommendations for strategic planning of enterprise development. Recommendations for strategic planning of enterprise development through the possible sequence of implementation of the considered innovative projects are developed, which are based on the assessment of risks of innovative activity at each stage of the life cycle of the considered projects and comparison with tabular values of possible risk zones.
Scientific and practical provisions of the thesis were used during the development of measures to implement the process of assessing the risks of innovation in enterprises. LLC "Research and Implementation Center of Traction Rolling Stock" (reference № 086/16 from 06.12.2016), LLC Trading House "Shepetivsky Sugar" (reference № 01 from 21.01.2020), Kholodnohirsk branch of the Municipal Enterprise "Kharkiv Heat Networks" (reference № 20 / 45-114 dated 11.06.2020), Production and commercial private enterprise "Ukrtorgobladnannya" (reference № 17 dated 18.06.2020).
