Didkovs'ka B. Forecasting the development of Ukraine’s trade ties with the EU

The subject – foreign trade ties of Ukraine with the European Union; research objective – development of methodical approaches to system research of problem of development of foreign trade communications of Ukraine with ES, building on their basis of complex of macromodels and scenario prognostication of development of foreign trade of Ukraine with the ES in a medium-term prospect; methods – systems analysis, alternative theories of foreign trade, econometrical methods, expert estimations, analysis and synthesis, grafoanalitical; novelty – the method of system research and prognostication of development of foreign trade communications of Ukraine is first developed with ES, is built the complex of economico-mathematical models of development of foreign trade communications of Ukraine with ES, the imitation prognoses (87 indexes) of development of foreign trade by the commodities of Ukraine with ES are got, adapted for the built complex recourent methods of evaluation and prognostication ; research results – the developed suggestions in relation to the observance of optimum national currency exchange rate; degree of introduction – result is drawn on at the word processing of project of Message of President of Ukraine in Supreme Soviet of Ukraine “About internal and external position of Ukraine in 2005”, analytical reports of the National institute of strategic researches of “Problem and priorities of forming of innovative model of development of economy of Ukraine” and “First tasks of socio-economic politics of the state: in 2007 prioritets”