Novoseletskiy O. Stability modeling of enterprise functioning taking into account a risk

Economic stability of functioning of industrial enterprise considering a risk. The development of conception and mathematical models of evaluation of industrial enterprise's level of stability considering a risk, application of which provides an increase in enterprise functioning efficiency. Methods: system analysis, statistical method, fractal analysis. Conceptual approaches, methods of analysis and design of economic stability are considered. Conception and analysis tools of stability of enterprise functioning is developed. Economic meaning of concept "stability" is defined. The use of integrated index for the evaluation of level of stability is grounded and conceptual approaches in relation to the quantitative evaluation of this system feature are analysed. The economic-and-mathematical model of determination of stability level and risk of stability loss are proposed. Besides, algorithm of evaluation of "depth of long-term memory" of time series of the researched economic category is offered. Expedience of application of the system functioning in the interactive mode in relation to a economic stability management is grounded, which allows to automatize calculations, and also carry out their modelling, which in turn helps substantially promote authenticity of the findings and facilitate the process of administrative decisions making. Industrial enterprises of Ukraine, educational process.