Yaschuk D. Economic and mathematical methods and models of Ukrainian enterprises bankruptcy diagnostics

Українська версія

Thesis for the degree of Candidate of Sciences (CSc)

State registration number

0410U005028

Applicant for

Specialization

  • 08.00.11 - Математичні методи, моделі та інформаційні технології в економіці

11-06-2010

Specialized Academic Board

Д 26.001.13

Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv

Essay

The current state of problem of Ukrainian enterprises financial crisis, insolvency and bankruptcy forecasting are considered. The up-to-date methods and models of diagnostics of enterprises bankruptcy, which they use in foreign and domestic practice, were considered in present research. There were analyzed the advantages and the drawbacks of considered methods and models, concerning its abilities for implementation for Ukrainian industrial enterprises. There were selected the key financial ratios, which directly indicate the scope of financial crisis of the Ukrainian enterprises and allow to estimate the probability of its bankruptcy. The set of economical and mathematical models was researched using multifactor discriminant analysis and decision trees, which allows classifying Ukrainian industrial enterprises according its probability of bankruptcy.

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