Skitsko V. Models of estimation of the company products sales volume on the basis of commercial loan in terms of risks

The objects of the research are the processes of realization of the company's products in conditions of commercial (commodity) loan. The aim of the dissertation is to develop conceptual statements and complex of economical-mathematical models of estimation of volumes of the company's products realization in conditions of commercial (commodity) loan with account of debit indebtedness risk. In this complex the instruments of risks theory, Markov chains and genetic algorithms on the basis of systematic approach are applied. The conceptual statements and complex of economical-mathematical models, and their software realization are developed. The results which represent the scientific novelty lie in solving the scientific task as for estimation of volumes of the company's products realization in conditions of commercial (commodity) loan with account of debit indebtedness risk. Results were introduced in work of JSC "Gloria LTD. Company", JSC "Kyiv Central Department Store", and State Enterprise "Sushko Engineering Center" of the Institute of Technical Thermophysics of NAS of Ukraine which is confirmed by the corresponding documents. Mathematical models developed by the author and their software realization can be used by the companies of various fields for making decisions concerning the conditions of realization of products in conditions of commercial (commodity) loan for forecasting, planning and analysis of corresponding economical indexes of their activity.