Melnikova M. Formal models of an enterprise financial state estimation and forecasting in unstable economic condition

Українська версія

Thesis for the degree of Candidate of Sciences (CSc)

State registration number

0412U006418

Applicant for

Specialization

  • 08.00.11 - Математичні методи, моделі та інформаційні технології в економіці

29-11-2012

Specialized Academic Board

Д.17.127.01

Essay

Theoretical substantiation and improving of methodical promote the enhancement of enterprise financial level model estimation reliability and accuracy of its forecasting under unstable economic conditions is addressed. It is determined the main causes of unacceptable large errors of forecasting in unstable economic conditions that prevent of grounded-reliable estimation of a financial level forecasting value for the next period. It is shown that a financial level forecasting error consists of the model inadequacy error and the forecasting method error.

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