Mysnik S. Simulation of fixed capital stock monitoring in the system of economic enterprise protection

The thesis is devoted to the development of mathematical models and methodological foundations of capital stocks monitoring of industrial enterprises as one of the main management tools of economic protectability. The conceptual model of monitoring of the economic protectability components influence on the tools of prevention and elimination the threat of a business activity is developed. This model allows to increase the efficiency of production capacity usage due to taking into account the competition intensity influence on the market-interface component of economic protectability and the level of fixed capital stock. The analysis of the quantitative risk assessments, which can be used in the rating modeling and management of fixed capital stocks was carried out. It was offered to use smoothen multiplicative function that allows to eliminate the value of risk assessment which is not involved in general trend. The main indices of this function are determined on the basis of normalized parameters of variation for specific detailed indicators of the components of the economic protectability level. It allows to estimate trend variation more reliably. The developed tools and means of modeling of the process of monitoring indices of fixed capital stock of PJSC "Kryvy Rih Surikov plant" and its economic protectability enable to forecast their both optimistic and pessimistic values taking into account given prediction reliability. These facts allow to analyze the management of capital stocks usage efficiency and determine the main trends of economic protectability improvement.