Yatsenko H. Identification of imbalances in the emerging economies

Українська версія

Thesis for the degree of Candidate of Sciences (CSc)

State registration number

0415U003917

Applicant for

Specialization

  • 08.00.11 - Математичні методи, моделі та інформаційні технології в економіці

10-06-2015

Specialized Academic Board

Д 26.239.02

Essay

The object: macroeconomic processes and macroeconomic balance in emerging economies. The aim: to justify the methodological approaches and to develop on their basis a set of economic-mathematical models to identify imbalances in the emerging economies (including Ukraine), experimental forecast calculations to assess the possibility of crises in Ukraine's economy in the short term. Methods of the research: analysis and synthesis, induction and deduction, modeling, systems analysis, econometric methods, the method of principal components, signal approach, qualitative analysis of data, statistical hypothesis test, the methodological recommendations of the countries - participants of the international forum "Group of 20", ECB. Novelty: the set of economic-mathematical models to identify and evaluate imbalances in the emerging economies is developed. The results are required in the Ministry of Economic Development and Trade of Ukraine, the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine, the Accounting Chamber of Ukraine, Institute for Economics and Forecasting Ukrainian National Academy of Science. Scope (area) of application: economics and public policy.

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