The conceptual apparatus of the financial crises theory has been developed by clarifying the concept of "financial crisis" as a process of resolving contradictions that arise in the financial system. It is determined that, depending on the nature and location of such contradictions, the financial crisis has such main symptomps as banking, stock, debt and currency.
A lag correlation between the onset of the crisis in the financial and real sectors of the economy, which is characteristic of the leading countries of the world and Ukraine, is revealed. Conceptual provisions of modeling of the process of spreading of the financial crisis in the real sector of economy are formed. Selected conceptual provisions allowed to form a complex of models of financial crisis spread in the Ukrainian real economy.
The identification model of the financial crisis in Ukraine is based on the application of the established system of indicators of the financial crisis spread in the real economy, which includes belated, simultaneous and outgoing indicators. This system allows to identify channels and period of financial crisis spread in the sector of real economy for its various manifestations (currency, banking, debt and stock) due to inclusion of indicators of functioning of industry, construction, transport and trade, etc.
Based on an interdisciplinary approach (physical shock wave theory), a model of financial crisis propagation in the sector of the Ukrainian real economy has been developed, which takes into account the explosive nature of resolving the contradictions of the financial crisis, accompanied by the loss of asset value, and allows identifying or predicting threats, preventing or delaying the spread of the financial crisis in the real economy.
To simulate the simultaneous impact of different shock waves on the real economy, a methodological approach to modeling the spread of the financial crisis in the real economy (as an absorption process), based on the application of the theory of catastrophes, allows to simulate the process of transition from equilibrium to uncertainty, as well as determine the conditions of occurrence of the shock wave of the financial crisis.
An imitation model of the financial crisis spread in the real sector of the economy of Ukraine is constructed. To identify the best management options, an experiment plan based on the Greco-Latin square was proposed, which allowed the variables to be automatically modified in the simulation model at appropriate times. The built-in model makes it possible to make multivariate calculations for different manifestations of the financial crisis, taking into account the possibility of making management decisions.
To justify and develope a model for preventing the spread of the financial crisis in the real economy Ukrainian , which allows to determine the most expedient decisions to delay or prevent the financial crisis and its spread in the real sector of the Ukrainian economy.
