Rudensky R. Models of anticipative control of complex economic systems

Object of research: management processes in the difficult economic systems in the conditions of unstable and dynamic external environment. Purpose of research: development of methodology and design instruments is a anticipative management the difficult economic systems. Results: inculcated the model of the project going near control of processes of realization of administrative decisions in the system anticipative management, developed model of forming of strategy of management marketing potential and model of estimation of marketing potential of industrial enterprise, synthesized models of budgetary process and estimation of tax potential of region, the structure of the informative SPPR is improved for aims anticipative management, the complex of case expenses frames is offered in anticipative control the system, based on the system of budgeting , improved models and methods estimations of the financial state of enterprises, based on the use of economical and statistical methods, the method of CAMEL of estimation of the state of banks is improved. Novelty: it is first formulated and the system of determinations is well-proven, assertions and consequences, which lets to draw a conclusion about introduction of new category to the theory of management the difficult economic systems; the structure of processes is certain anticipative management and the proper methods anticipative management the difficult economic systems which create single methodology of design anticipative management; conception of design of processes is developed anticipative management based on the ideas of the object-oriented approach, to determination of basic objects; got further development: complex of models of optimization of processes of control of realization of administrative decisions, realizing the idea of method of supporting points; case marketing potential frames in part of presentation of conduct of users as the Markovskogo process and going near the estimation of matrix of probabilities of transitions; models of budgetary process and estimations of tax potential, which are based on the use of methods of structural and functional design and econometrical ; structure of the system of support of making a decision for the system anticipative management the difficult economic systems. (SPPR). Field of use: sectorial.