Goltiaieva L. Managemental models of financial risk of enterprises

Українська версія

Thesis for the degree of Candidate of Sciences (CSc)

State registration number

0413U000118

Applicant for

Specialization

  • 08.00.11 - Математичні методи, моделі та інформаційні технології в економіці

20-12-2012

Specialized Academic Board

Д 64.055.01

Simon Kuznets Kharkiv National University of Economics

Essay

Object of research: the process of financial risk management company; objective: To develop complex mathematical economic models of financial risk management companies that allow to develop effective measures against certain type of risk based on predicting the consequences of its occurrence; methods and apparatus: structural and logical analysis, methods of fuzzy set theory, the concept of system dynamics, scenario approach; theoretical and practical results: complex models of financial risk management company, which is based on a synthesis scenario approach and simulation, allowing for multivariate analysis of the risk situation and assess the feasibility of management measures; model of attribute space to diagnose the financial condition of the company, which is based on grouping set parameters via structural logic analysis and yield metrics-of representatives, of the financial condition of the company; model for evaluating the degree of financial risk in terms of lack of information, which is based on the use of the apparatus of fuzzy sets and fuzzy logic and allows us to identify the degree of financial risk on the basis of changes in financial position of the enterprise, assessed using the summary measure; the conceptual apparatus of the theory of financial risk management, which added the concept of "risky business environment" and the classification of financial risk, the difference of which is existing in the introduction of additional classification signs for "life-cycle" that allows to specify localization financial risks and improve the quality of management; model selection antyryzykovyh measures that take into account the causal relationships in shaping risk situation and the opportunities for companies to manage financial risks caused class of its financial and economic situation, and can reduce the impact of financial risks in all areas of the enterprise; degree of implementation: development implemented in practical activity of "plant chemicals", LLC "Pervomaysky cable plant," PE "Grand B" Abstract of the learning process; scope: financial risk management company

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